Monday February 21, 2022
I've Been Thinking:

What is Iran’s bottom line in the nuclear talks with the West? What are Iranian expectations?

This is what we know for sure:

The Iranian parliament issued a list of conditions that need to be met before they rejoin the now infamous 2015 agreement termed the nuke deal.

Even with that condition, in typical Iranian tradition, there is a caveat: There are 290 members of the Iranian Parliament, known as the Majlis, and the parliament will need to vote and approve the agreement.

This is what they Iranians want:

1 - a guarantee that the parties will not back out of the agreement

2 – assurance that snapback mechanisms will not be triggered

3 – lifting of all sanctions against Iran

It is unlikely that all three of these conditions will be met - maybe two, but not all three.

Will that be enough – or will these diplomatic games continue to be played?

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