Monday June 5, 2006

I'm Predicting:

Hamas is losing it's lead - politically, militarily, economically, socially.

Student government elections in several Gaza colleges, divisions of al Quds University, gave Fatah 70% of their vote. Last year that same 70% went to Hamas. Student elections in West Bank universities gave Fatah the same lead.

Shootouts between Hamas and Fatah are routine, daily occurrences. Innocents, like a pregnant woman in one of the latest clashes, are being killed in the cross fire. Fatah is putting its military on alert. Hamas is appointing new police.

Tuesday's referendum deadline is almost here. There might be a chance for an extension, but little to no chance of a compromise.
Hamas has said "no" to accepting Israel and "no" to a referendum. They have actually consulted international and legal experts who concluded that there can be no referendum on Palestinian land. And their religious consultants maintain that the Koran rejects the concept of referendum.

The internal Palestinian situation is looking bad for Hamas.
Hamas is faltering.
It is just a matter of time before Hamas collapses.

The worse it gets for Hamas, the closer the Palestinian Authority gets to civil war.
Each passing day brings civil war one step closer.