Wednesday September 6, 2006

I'm Predicting:

Ahmadinejad is at it again.
His latest mission, typical of almost everything else in his regime, is neither innovative nor unique.
Ahmadinejad wants to purge the Iranian universities of any trace of liberal thinkers and moderate professors.

He calls it a "cultural revolution undoing 150 years of secularism."
Actually, he is recycling the tactics used in 1979, in the first Iranian Revolution. That was when the Ayatollah Khomeini and Iranian masses overthrew the Shah and his secret police.

But times have changed, the situation has changed.
In 1979 when the Islamic revolution ousted the Shah they attacked a local and powerful symbol - a symbol that was easy to identify and to target.
Today Ahmadinejad and the Mullahs of Iran are trying to oust a symbol that is external and amorphous. Their target is a culture, a set of values that cannot be destroyed - their revolt is focused on the West.

Ahmadinejad's revolt will fail.
Why? Because the vast majority of Iranians hate Ahmadinejad and the secret police of the Mullahs.
Cracking down on the universities is a mistake.
Why? Because it will fuel an anti-Mullah revolt. Because most revolts begin in the universities.