Thursday May 17, 2007

I've Been Thinking:

There are rumor and reports that Libya's Muammar Ghadaffi had a stroke.
The family forcefully denies the report and any notion that Ghadaffi is unwell.

Ghadaffi is not a man who hides from the press.
The state of his health will be determined by how quickly he makes his next public appearance and the shape he is in.
Ghadaffi stands alone in holding his country together.
And so ...
The issue of Ghadafi's health has forced the obvious question.
Who will succeed this Libyan leader?

Ghadaffi has not adequately groomed a successor.
Ghadaffi has 8 children, 7 sons and 1 daughter.
If he becomes incapable of ruling I would anticipate a power sharing situation between his sons Saif al Islam and Mustasim Billah along with his daughter who recently received a flurry of media attention as one of Saddam's lawyers.

If Ghadaffi is ill Libya is in for major change.
Either a revolution or a real police crack down.
Or both.