Monday August 25, 2008

I've Been Thinking:

Obama has named a VP and the Democrats are going in Convention mode.
Expect to see a bump in the polls.
The polls will give Obama a boost.
The hope is that the boost will start a trend.

Why did Obama choose Biden?
Biden was not chosen because he can reach the working class or because ha has experience or because he knows foreign affairs.
Biden is a classic old school political campaigner.
Biden takes the message and repeats it and repeats it and repeats it.
Biden has accurately been called him an attack dog.
Biden will attack Republicans on relevant and on irrelevant issues.
Biden is good at calling in favors.

Expect that along the way the vice presidential candidate will make some serious gaffs opening himself and Obama and the campaign to criticism.
It is not in his control, it is just who Joe Biden is.
The question is:
Will Biden's attacks on McCain outweigh his terrible flubs?

I would say the answer is a clear no.
Why? Because Biden is so obviously establishment Washington.
The bumps Biden puts in the road to the White House will be more significant than the bump his name creates in the polls.

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