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Polls Are Tricky
By Micah Halpern

Friday August 1, 2008

I've Been Thinking:

Olmert made his announcement, now the pollsters take over.
The findings are not as obvious as once might think.

According to a poll taken yesterday and released this morning:
If there were national elections toady and Tzipi Livni were to head Kadima, the party would edge out Bibi (Benjamin) Netanyahu and Likud 26-25 (with a 4.1 degree of error). In another poll 32-27.
If there were national elections today the Labor party, under the leadership of Ehud Barak, would only pull in 17 seats in the new Knesset.

That means several things:
First and most importantly, Labor is not going to be out there destroying the government.
Next, Shas will also be wary because their seats are a crap shoot.
And third, this new poll indicates that Likud under Netanyahu is not so beloved.

There are a lot of "if"s in this poll.
If Shaul Mofaz, the other candidate for Kadima leader, wins the party leadership Likud would do much better come an election.

So let's wait and see.

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4 June 2017 12:14 PM in Thoughts


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