Sunday August 3, 2008

I've Been Thinking:

Last week the Syrian Foreign Minister Wllid al Muallem visited Iran.
Today Syrian President Bashar Assad met Ahmadinejad in Teheran.
What's going on?

Syria wants to be brought in from the frozen diplomatic tundra that they have been kept in by the United States and the West.
Syria has, until now, been allied with Iran.
Iran is starting to feel the pressure.
Iran knows that once the process begins in earnest, Syria will not be able to play both sides of the fence.

Iran needs to make Syria understand how much there is to lose by abandoning Iran and embarking on a pro-Western joy ride.
Iran and the religious extremists have the power to destabilize Syria and topple Assad at will and in a matter if seconds.

Assad must decide.
Is the warm weather and the promise of new economic opportunities worth it?
What is the bottom line for Bashar Assad?

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