Saturday February 21, 2009

I've Been Thinking:

Benjamin Bibi Netanyahu has been asked by Israel's president to form the new Israeli government by coalition.

There are only three options now.

# 1: To create a centrist broad coalition.
In that coalition will be Likud, Kadima and either Labor or Yisrael Beitaynu, the party led by Lieberman, or both. Despite the press coverage, Lieberman can easily join a centrist government, he has done it in the past.
This is the best option.

# 2: To create a narrow coalition leaning heavy to the right.
Reality dictates that such a coalition will soon collapse. Ideology will get in the way of governing.

# 3: If no coalition can be created, new elections will be called
It is not clear what the results of a new vote will be, there is now ay of now knowing if the Israeli voting public will choose to punish the small parties or reward the medium parties.

At this point I can offer only analysis, there is no predicting what will happen next.

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