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Israeli Elections
By Micah Halpern

Sunday February 8, 2009

I'm Predicting:

On Tuesday elections will be held in Israel.
These elections are way too close to call.

The last polls to be made public before the elections, released on Friday, put Likud 2 seats ahead of Kadima with a degree of error of over 3 points.
Over the past few weeks the Likud lead has shrunk.
Tracking movement, especially slow shrinkage and the gradual closing of gaps, is important in predicting election results, it reflects trends.

According to every published poll there is a 2 seat difference between Likud and Kadima.
The polls are also all showing that the party led by Avigdor Lieberman, Yisrael Beitaynu, is growing fast to 18 seats.
The other parties are petrified that Lieberman might steal their votes.
On Saturday night the Rabbi of Shas considered to be one of the leading religious thinker among Jews from North African communities said voting for Lieberman is voting for the devil. The word he used was Satan.

The election is in a few days.
A few days is a lifetime in Israeli politics.

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11 April 2016 07:19 AM in Predictions


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