Saturday March 14, 2009

I'm Predicting:

Interesting, exciting and now no longer secret meeting have been taking place in Israel.

Likud has been in dialogue with Y'Israel Beitenu, Lieberman's party, and with right wing parties hoping to form a government. The parties have been making serious demands on the Netanyahu coalition.

Several media outlets have reported that there have also been meetings over the past two days between Likud and Kadima - but those meetings were conducted in secret. When Labor heard about the secret Kadima meetings they thought it time to jump on the band wagon and said that they will not be able to say "no" to joining that kind of coalition - a centrist coalition.

Netanyahu has received very bad feedback from the mainstream of his party about the rightwing negotiations. Now it seems that the Likud party leader is interested in moving toward the center in a three party coalition: Likud, Kadima and Labor.

The talk is that there will be an uneven rotation.
Netanyahu will serve as prime minister for 3 years and Livni will get 1+ years.
It may be a very good compromise.
It may also require that President Shimon Peres allow for an extension in the time period allotted for negotiations.
The word is that Peres was kept in the loop on these secret meetings from the very beginning.

A right wing government will not hold.
By its very nature the only way to stabilize a government is to create a moderate centrist coalition with parties slightly to the left and parties slightly to the right working together.
I think that Netanyahu has finally, through patience and perseverance and good party politics, come up with a workable plan for governing Israel.

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