Tuesday December 28, 2010

I've Been Thinking:

Gamal Mubarak, the Policy Chief of Egypt's ruling party, also the son of current president Hosni Mubarak, made an announcement yesterday.

Presidential elections will take place in September of 2011. And in July, the party will decide who their nominee will be.

President Hosni Mubarak is 83 years old, has been elected 5 times and has been in power since 1981. He has not said that he will step down, but the widely held assumption is that Gamal will succeed him.

The next few months will be critical in determining if Gamal is prepared. There are serious questions about his skill, his public presence and whether he has the ruthlessness to control Egypt.

Gamal has no military background and will be spending much time cultivating the Egyptian army and air force - without them, there is no possibility of maintaining order and power in Egypt.

Over the next few months we need to watch the different roles Gamal plays and the responses to those roles. He may be the chosen candidate or maybe - Hosni will forge on for another term as president.

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