January 15, 2012

I've Been Thinking:

The United States, especially the White House, has spent considerable time over these past few days trying to convince Israel not to strike Iran.

The US is unclear as to whether their message will be heeded, and that is very frustrating. But honestly, that is part of the Israeli defense strategy.

Allies and enemies are not supposed to be able to predict Israel's actions, especially the timetable for those actions.

There are several reasons why Israel is being ambiguous with the United States about their Iranian attack strategy. The most critical is that Israel is not certain that the US policy of sanctions and military buildup will make Iran back down. Now that another US carrier group has entered the Persian Gulf area the US is saying that they have the situation under control, but Israel doesn't necessarily buy that.

Israel does not believe that, when the time comes, the United States will make the right call. So Israel is taking matters into their own hands and planning their own attack.

That frightens the United States - they worry that Israel is operating on a hair trigger.

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