Wednesday July 24, 2013

I'm Predicting:

Over the past few weeks both US and Israeli defense agencies have concluded that the civil war in Syria may not end quickly. This analysis is an important recognition that the conflict is much deeper than expected.

At the beginning the United States felt that anyone who opposed Assad was good and hence, they would be victorious. The US has now concluded that both sides are bad.

The pendulum has swung back and forth several times already and both the US and Israel think that the momentum might swing back and forth several more times.

I see the situation differently.

Day after day I see the Assad regime striking and attacking and retaking and gaining. While there have been several isolated rebel victories, for the past ten weeks there has been an overwhelming amount of success on the side of the regime.

There is an unevenness in Western reportage. Rebel successes are touted and the wins by the Assad regime are not at all well reported to the West.

But when ones follows local press in Syria and Lebanon it becomes clear that the regime is inflicting serious losses on the rebels.
And when you read chat boards of the Muslim movements they announce huge numbers of deaths in Syria and advertise for fighters to come to Syria to help oust the regime.

Contrary to Israeli and Unites States opinion, I predict that by the end of the summer it will all be over in Syria.

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