Sunday March 13, 2016

I've Been Thinking:

To best understand extended conflicts in the Middle East it is important that we look at momentum and at shifts in momentum.

Of late, it looked like ISIS and al Qaeda backed groups were being beaten back and that Russian, Iranian and US forces and air power have finally started to take a toll on them.

But there are always setbacks and these setbacks can cause the momentum to shift. Some shifts can have a huge impact on the overall conflict.

Last night, on Saturday March 12th, al Qaeda affiliate Al Nusra attacked and captured several Free Syrian Army bases in the North East. Dozens of prisoners were taken.

These Free Syrian Army fighters were part of the 13th Division. Al Nusra said that they were responding to attacks against them by the 13th Division.

The Free Syrian Army fighters were US-trained and US-armed.

Yes, just as you guessed. Yet again, modern, advanced, US weapons were captured and are now in the hands of al Qaeda. Some of these weapons include sophisticated anti-tank missiles.

The momentum has shifted. This is not a good sign.

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