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Will Olmert Resign
By Micah Halpern

Wednesday May 2, 2007

I'm Predicting:

A scathing report pointing the finger of blame at the prime minister of Israel for improper decision making during the summer war with Lebanon has been released and is all any Israeli can talk or think about.
But despite the speculation, despite the outcry and the outrage, Prime Minister Ehud Olmert is not about to step down.

Only a synopsis of the Winograd Report has been released.
So even if the Winograd Commission did recommend that Olmert resign it will take months before the conclusion of the Report is made public.

Why? Because that is not the way democracies work.
Why? Because the Commission members were appointed, not elected.
Why? Because Ehud Olmert was democratically elected by the people of Israel.
Why? Because regardless of his approval rating at the moment there are only two ways that Olmert can be removed. A vote of "no confidence" or if he resigns.

No leader relies on ratings unless it is the eve of an election.
Leaders do not obsess on whether they are liked or not liked.
Leaders respond to public critique and that is what Olmert will do.
Olmert will embark on a mission to resuscitate his name and improve his standing but he will not be out in the near future.

If there is change - it will not happen before the summer and elections will only be held in the fall, after the high holidays. That is how the system works in Israel.

4 June 2017 12:14 PM in Predictions

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