Thursday February 2, 2006

I'm Predicting:

People have a total misunderstanding of the Palestinians Authority.
Post-Hamas victory I have been hearing about democracy, I am hearing that the people have spoken. Horse hockey, that's what I say.

The United States was the most influential party in Palestinian politics pre-Hamas victory. The reason there is no State of Palestine today is because the US said it would not recognize the state unless several conditions were met - like clamping down on terror and working with Israel to find some rapprochement.

Now Bush says it is up to Hamas. He still maintains that the US will not recognize the PA if Hamas does not put down its arms, change its charter and recognize Israel. Bush said: "I have made it clear that so long as that's their policy, that we will not support a Palestinian government made up of Hamas."

But what if the Palestinian Authority does not change ... then what?
Hamas may soon declare themselves a State of Palestine. Unilaterally.
Hamas may want to take the risk and snub the US. If they do, the new Palestinian State will be a pariah, without US support they will never break into the Western world ... but does Hamas really care?

Hamas probably does not want to be part of any club that includes the US of A. Thinking otherwise is another in the growing list of big Western miscalculations.