Saturday September 23, 2006

I'm Predicting:

The Palestinian Authority is painting itself into a corner.
The Palestinian Unity Government is predicated on the very principle that Palestinians can live side by side with Israelis.
But Hamas cannot and will not recognize Israel. Even more, Israeli is antithetical to Hamas' raison d'etre.

One of two things will happen:
Either
The Unity Government will go into existence fuzzing and blurring that essential principle and Hamas will accept a 5 - 10 year "Hudna," a temporary truce on Israel - provided there is no insistence on a declaration of Israel's existence.
Or
The idea of Palestinian Unity Government will go right into the garbage.

I would not put too much stock in the idea of Palestinian Unity.