Monday June 2, 2008

I've Been Thinking:

Arafat used to say that the secret weapon of the Palestinian people was - the Palestinian womb.
He was saying that natural Arab population growth will easily and quickly outstrip the Jewish birthrate in Israel.

Arafat's argument was often sited by fear mongers predicting the demise of Israel.
They claimed that the onslaught of Arabs would erode the democratic nature of Israel.
It has always been a problematic argument.
In findings made public this week it appears that the evidence is pointing the other way.

The rule in population studies is the wealthier and better educated a community, the fewer the children.
The only exception to that rule is the Jewish population in Israel.
The new findings tell us that as Arab lives in Israel improve they are having fewer children - and at the same time Jews are having more children.

The Jerusalem study shows that between 2000 and 2006 the Arab rate of reproduction fell from 4.30 per family to 4.
During that same period the Jewish birth rate rose from 3.7 to 3.9.

Those are very important and impressive statistics.

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