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About Politics
By Micah Halpern

Monday October 13, 2008

I've Been Thinking:

Election momentum seemed to have shifted in Obama’s direction.

You hear the ease in his voice when he speaks.

You sense the charge and power flowing through the crowds as he speaks.

But the election is far from over.

There are 2 factors to look at in the last 3 weeks of a presidential election:

# 1: The undecided voter - and there are 18% of them still to vote
# 2: The rubber band effect - numbers that bounce back and forth, expand and contract, in a cyclical way.

Certainly, there is still time for blunders and mistakes, but unless those are humongous, they are only a very small part of what really matters.

Right now, the rubber band is favoring Barack Obama.

It will bounce back again.

The question is, will it contract enough and at the right time for John McCain.

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4 June 2017 12:14 PM in Thoughts


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