Friday October 17, 2008

I've Been Thinking:

Obama took his campaign to West Virginia yesterday.
Why West Virginia? There are several reasons.

The last time West Virginia took its 5 electoral college votes and went blue i.e. Democratic, was in 1996. That was when Clinton beat Dole.

West Virginian is thought to be the perfect Republican state. But so far, the state is still undecided. So Obama is showing a little swagger. He is there to push and pull the traditionally red state back to the Clinton era.

It is not about the 5 votes, it is about what West Virginian symbolizes.
If Obama can sway West Virginia the entire momentum of the election shifts into the Obama court. That means an election like the 1984 Reagan vs Mondale race in which Mondale only took 13 electoral votes - 10 from his home state of Minnesota plus 3 from DC. The result was a 525 - 13 electoral vote win for Reagan.

West Virginia is not a battleground state.
West Virginian is a flood state.
If West Virginian goes blue, the flood gates open.
If West Virginia remains red, the fight drags on.

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