Friday October 24, 2008

I've Been Thinking:

Jews have always voted Democratic. This election will be no different.

Two new polls have come out predicting the Jewish vote on November 4th.
The NYU poll says that over 60% of Jews will vote Obama while about 30% will vote for McCain.
The Gallup Group poll which was published yesterday published was more in line with previous years, it had 74% of the Jews voting for Obama and 22% for McCain.

In 2000, during the Gore/Bush battle for the White House, Gore received 80% of the Jewish vote. In 1994 Kerry got 74% of that vote.

The Jewish community is stable, it is predictable.
This year people are talking about how the Jewish vote will go Republican.
In real terms if 30% of the Jewish vote actually does go Republican, that would be a seismic shift in Jewish voting patterns.

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