Tuesday August 17, 2010

I'm Predicting:

Iran is very possessive when it comes to friends. Iranians have been known to poach other peoples' allies and they aggressively act to protect and preserve their own friendships.

Iran is very unhappy with the friendship that has emerging over the last few months between Syria and Saudi Arabia.

Iran has been cultivating and investing in Syria for years and assumed that the Syrians were a reliable ally. Saudi Arabia on the other hand is a sworn enemy of Iran. And while Syria and Saudi Arabia had never been close, over the past few months they have transformed their relationship in an effort to achieve mutually important goals.

The most common and important goal to bring Syria and Saudi Arabia together is Lebanon.

Iran wants to control what happens in Lebanon. And it looks like Saudi Arabia is muscling in not only on Syria but also on Lebanon. I see serious regional tensions on the horizon.

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