Thursday October 18, 2012

I've Been Thinking:

Iran has denied it, but the international press has been abuzz for the past few days. Der Spiegel broke the story.

Iran has a secret plan to initiate an oil spill in the Straits of Hormuz.

The spill would contaminate the water and force the Straits to close. Then Iran would use the situation as leverage and make promise to clean up the environmental mess - and the West would lift the sanctions against them.

All the while the cost of oil would sky rocket. Der Spiegel said that the plan was called "Dirty Waters."

It makes sense but it will not work - Saddam Hussein attempted the same trick.

The oil spill scenario is something that the West has already considered. A much more likely scenario would be for Iran to strike tankers and military ships with their tiny, mini submarines and with their fleet of speedy rubber craft.

When that happens there is almost no way to trace source of the attack and it can take weeks to clear out a disabled tanker or war ship.

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