Thursday October 23, 2008

I've Been Thinking:

AP just released a poll that puts the presidential race at 44% to 43%, that's very close.
At the same time the ABC / Washington Post poll has an 11 point spread.

What's the story? What is one to think?
Regardless of what camp you are in, this race is far from over.
If Obama starts acting as if he has won or if McCain as if he has lost, it will tilt the election.
States like Ohio, Pennsylvania, Indiana, Missouri, North Carolina and Florida are all up for grabs.
But so are Colorado and Virginia.
It is not clear how any of these states will vote on election day.

The AP poll gives us a lot of important information.
The people AP polled were workers who earn less than $50, 000.
Given the current economic crisis that salary group might actually be a greater indicator than expected.
The AP poll might be showing us a serious shift in the voting pattern.

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