Friday June 4, 2010

I'm Predicting:

Yesterday White House Spokesman Robert Gibbs announced that the United States expects that the sanctions on Iran will be presented for a vote by the UN Security Council next week.

I seriously doubt that the timetable will be adhered to.

Here's why: By next week the Flotilla Crisis will not be over. And China and Russia will not yet be convinced to follow the lead of the United States because they will still have serious questions with the way the US handled Israel.

The question is: Why should China and Russia support the US over Iran when the US cannot control Israel. China and Russia assert that controlling Israel is a very important part of the counter Iranian game plan.

When the Security Council meets next week they will discuss the sanctions.

I hope that they apply the sanctions but I do not think that it will happen by next week.

International diplomacy will necessitate a delay in implementation of the sanctions.

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